Do we have a shortage of medical doctors in America?

Discussion in 'Ask Dr. Dave' started by Anonymous, Feb 27, 2015 at 5:11 PM.

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  1. Anonymous

    Anonymous Guest

    A friend of mine told me that the AMA intentionally limits the number of seats in US medical schools to keep physician salaries artificially high. I don't know whether that is true or not. But recently my primary care doctor referred me to a specialist for advanced treatment. When I called to schedule the receptionist remarked that the earliest available appointment was 4 weeks out. That prompted me to wonder if there is a shortage of doctors in America? It just doesn't seem right that I should have to wait 4 weeks to see a specialist in arguably the wealthiest and most advanced nation on earth. Strange.
     

  2. DrDave

    DrDave Member

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    I am not aware of any conspiracy to limit the number of physicians, but many would argue that there are shortages in various disciplines. I'm not sure if this is correct or if we are less efficient than we should be in caring for certain types of patients - maybe a little of both. Your experience is not uncommon, though.

    Thanks for posting!
     
  3. Anonymous

    Anonymous Guest

    Just try getting in to see a derm. Many of the appointments are up to several months out.

    Agree that the number of physicians is being somewhat artificially limited by organizations like the AMA..... but physician numbers are also being very realistically limited by the massive cost and length of MD/DO education and training.
     
  4. Anonymous

    Anonymous Guest

    For as much money that Americans spend on healthcare in American (about $1 out of every $5 dollars spent in the US economy) there should be zero shortage of physicians and people should not have to wait a month or more to see a specialist. I have spoken with immigrants who have lived in socialized western europe where much less is spent, per capita, for healthcare than in America and their satifaction levels were much higher with the european medical systems. I think the AMA does manipulate the enrollment in medical schools to keep the ratio of physicians to the overall population articificially low. I have read articles on it. I think we are being ripped off by the medical system. That industry operates by a completely different set of rules than all other industries. There is no free market, especially now that people are forced by the government to obtain health insurance. Now we are forced to finance treatment for illegal foreigners who shouldn't even be here in the first place. Go to Mexico and try to get free medical treatment. Down there if you can't pay you go to jail.
     
  5. DrDave

    DrDave Member

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    Can someone provide a supporting reference? Just to be clear, I do not belong to the AMA because I do not feel it reflects my interests, but this allegation is pretty serious.
     
  6. Anonymous

    Anonymous Guest

    Thanks for asking, Dr. Dave. I think you will agree that the Mises Institute is a pretty reliable information source. Mises supports its positions with credible public data. So it's a good place to start. However, there are literally hundreds of articles on this subject matter. You can pick and choose at will. But I believe Mises is a good primer.

    "To start with, the American Medical Association (AMA) has had a government-granted monopoly on the healthcare system for over 100 years. It has intentionally restricted the number of doctors allowed to practice medicine so as to raise physician incomes artificially. The primary way it does this is by using the coercive power of the state to restrict the number of approved medical schools in operation. After the AMA created its Council on Medical Education in 1904, state medical boards complied with the AMA's recommendation to close down medical schools."

    http://mises.org/library/myth-free-market-healthcare

    The bottom line is that for as much money as America spends on healthcare ($1 of every $5 consumer dollars) the quality should be MUCH better than what it is. As Mises explains - there is no 'free market' in the US medical industry. It's a massive consumer ripoff. And the linked article was authored in 2011, prior to the enactment of ObamaCare which now forces people to purchase health insurance and limits the insurance policies available. So it's become worse, not better. And it was bad before. The medical industry in America is awful when compared to medical care in other 1st world nations. In Europe they pay much less and produce much better outcomes. Go figure. At some point we must face the truth. We suck.
     
  7. DrDave

    DrDave Member

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    Interesting - thanks for the link and information. You will certainly get no argument from me that there is no free market in health care. Health care is the only industry I know in which the customer who pays cash on the day of service pays the highest price in most cases. If someone can quote a price, that is. There are many good points raised in the article, and it is definitely worth a read.

    That said, even accepting the premise that historically the AMA may have conspired in this way, I'm not convinced that this is currently true. You might argue that the AMA's political rhetoric and political action are two different things, but my experience in recent years is that the AMA has been very vocal about increasing the number of physicians by opening more schools, expanding class size and, perhaps most importantly, raising the cap on residency positions (which I don't believe was addressed in the Mises Institute piece).

    For example, I found this issue of AMA News from 2010, before the Mises piece, I believe. If the AMA were currently conspiring to limit physicians, wouldn't its talking point be "the physician shortage is a myth?" Though currently marginal, that school of thought does exist.

    Thank you very much for the post and the discussion - interesting topic indeed.
     
  8. Anonymous

    Anonymous Guest

    Dr. Dave, all you need to do is research how many new med schools have opened up in the last 15 years, how many new students graduated from med schools and went on to become docs, and whether the % increase in the new grads kept up with the increase in th rate of population growth during that period of time. I think you will find, as pointed out in the Mises article, that the number of med school grads has trailed the growth in the country's population by a long shot. The AMA talks a good game. You have to pull the curtain back and determine whether their actions match their words. I say it doesn't. Look, the AMA is nothing more than a political lobbying group. And they are going to lobby the politicians to promote continued growth in physician salaries. That's what they do. And that is done by keeping supply low and keeping demand high. Like I said, I had to wait over 4 weeks to see a specialist. And I have decent insurance. If the market were in balance that would NEVER happen, sir. And it's not just me. Many friends and acquaintances have run into the same problem. Oh, and don't forget about the AMA's push for Congress to approve ObamaCare. Do your research and look at the exponential increase in AMA lobbyist contributions to Congress from 2009 until ObamaCare was passed. As a matter of fact, the AMA helped to write ObamaCare. The politicians didn't write it! lol. They didn't even know what was in it until after they approved it! lol. They just followed the lead of the lobbyist money!!! lol. The US healthcare system sucks, Dr. Dave. Especially considering that $1 of every $5 consumer dollars gets spent on healthcare in the US. The healthcare industry operates like a drug cartel!!! lol.
     
  9. DrDave

    DrDave Member

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    Just to be clear, your overall points about the lack of a free market, inefficiencies, outrageous cost and waste in US health care are well taken - points I make to others myself. Also, I share your view that population - particularly geriatric population-growth has outpaced physician growth significantly. With these points, I have no disagreement.

    I'm just find it hard to believe that, at least in 2015, the AMA is actively trying to limit the number of physicians. If that was the historical strategy, it clearly backfired as it set the stage for mid-levels to step into traditional physician roles at lower cost, which is definitely not in the AMA's interest.

    I also think some disciplines in the US have cultural biases regarding the importance of wait time for acuity. I work in primary care, not dermatology, but I'm in a medically under-served area (local physician shortage from a population mathematical standpoint); yet, roughly 50% of my appointments are made same day because I have determined that to be the demand and structure my scheduling system accordingly. Cardiologists in my area actually do quite well with short wait times also. IE, I'm not sure wait time is always about shortage.

    Once again, thanks for your post, and I think we're very like-minded overall. The system is broken, no doubt about it.
     
  10. Anonymous

    Anonymous Guest

    Thanks for your response, Dr. Dave. Just one more comment w/regard to the AMA. As I previously stated, the AMA supported ObamaCare and contributed LOTS of donations to Congress to secure passage of ACA. You can easily find the level of heightened political contributions on-line with a google search. From 2009 to ACA enactment the AMA contributions went viral in support of ACA. And the AMA knew FULL WELL that it would add 35 million or more new enrollees to the healthcare rolls. And the AMA also knew that it would create MUCH more demand while the rate of growth of new physicians remained stagnant. NOW, as I type, most news agencies are reporting that there has been a sharp increase in wait times to see physicians (both primary care and specialist) with the inception of ObamaCare. CNN has many articles about this. So while physician shortages in America were a problem prior to ACA, now the problem is even getting worse. Physicians are smart people. You can't convince me that the AMA didn't have a clue of what to expect when 35 million or more additional health care lives were dumped on a physician population that has shown virtually no growth for the last 15 years. I give medical doctors much more credit than that. They certainly knew what outcome to expect. More work. Bigger incomes. It's that simple. Thanks for the discussion.
     
  11. Anonymous

    Anonymous Guest

    Here's a WorldBank chart of Physician to Population ratios showing # of physicians per 1000 residents. The USA has about 2.5 doctors for every 1000 residents. All the 1st world industrialized nations show between 3.2 and 4.0. Why does the USA have a lower ratio considering that we spend considerably more of our GDP ($1 of every $5 consumer dollars on medical care) than those other 1st world nations ($1 in $8 consumer dollars on medical care)? So we Americans spend more and get less. That doesn't seem fair.

    http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SH.MED.PHYS.ZS
     
  12. DrDave

    DrDave Member

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    I completely agree. We have an expensive system that doesn't deliver the high quality it should.

    I found an interesting time capsule in US News and World Report from 2005. It's not exhaustive, but it addresses a lot of the issues we've been discussing as they were viewed 10 years ago. The active lobbying to restrict the physician supply you cite is referenced, but the article is about the 180 degree shift in this view that was occurring broadly at the time. (There is also a reference to an increase in physician production in the 60s/70s but no accompanying data). I concede your point that, regardless of motive, the AMA and others clearly lobbied in the last 20 years to limit physician production to our detriment.

    Also, as I referenced above in an earlier post, another very important, perhaps more important, part of this is the Medicare funding of residencies, a completely separate process than the accreditation and building of medical schools. Expansion is usually just a matter of dollars to increase slots in an existing program. You do not have to be US med school trained to be admitted to a US residency, so the supply for candidates is global.

    Thanks for an interesting discussion. In the end, I suspect we will agree to disagree that the AMA continues in 2015 to actively lobby to limit the number of physicians. However, I think we wholeheartedly agree that US health care is inefficient and expensive, thanks in part to the erroneous view that we were facing a physician "surplus" in the 80s and 90s. Also, I think we both agree on the "so what" of that - IE, if we were in the process of overproducing doctors, so be it, and let market forces decide in the end where they practice and how they get paid. Look at where lobbying and government intervention got us.
     
  13. Anonymous

    Anonymous Guest

    In The Atlantic article linked below it illustrates the onerous hoops of fire that foreign medical doctors must jump through in order to begin a practice in the US. The rules and regulations authored by the AMA are much more restrictive than the eligibility requirements found in other 1st world nations. Trust me, I am in favor of giving healthcare jobs in the US to US trained medical doctors. However, it is estimated that the US will face a shortage of over 91,000 physicians by year 2020 (see article). And nothing is being done NOW by the AMA to increase the population of US physicians to avert a national crisis come 2020. The AMA is simply not creating enough seats in our medical schools, nor are they promoting greater opportunity for more residencies to avert a huge physician shortage. To top it off, the AMA makes it so difficult for foreign trained physicians to qualify for a license that most refuse to even apply. So it appears to me that the AMA is part of the problem, not part of the solution. It appears to me that the AMA is doing it's darndest to help create a physician shortage, not prevent it. There is no reason to face such a drastic shortage of qualified medical doctors in a nation that spends $1 of over $5 consumer dollars on healthcare. And when you compare the number of physicians per 1000 population in the US with the same per capita measurement in other 1st world nations (see previously linked data) it obvious that something in America has run amok.

    http://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2014/11/doctors-with-borders-how-the-us-shuts-out-foreign-physicians/382723/
     
  14. DrDave

    DrDave Member

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    A very interesting article. Thank you for sharing. Perhaps we ultimately agree on this-yes, the American Medical Association should be doing more to help address this problem. (You may accuse me of parsing words, but I perceive that as different than having an active mission to increase the problem.)

    However, I would make the the point that increasing residency slots is largely a matter of funding, not related to any AMA restrictions. Though, as you point out, the increase in the number of medical school seats over the last 10 years falls very short of what we will ultimately need, residency slots have not really increased at all. Consequently, we are now set up to have have more graduates than we can train.

    Also, regarding foreign medical graduates, those hoops are indeed onerous for someone who has already been practicing within a specific medical discipline independently in their own country. The process for becoming a US licensed physician in that situation should be very streamlined, and it's far from it. However, the article seems to conflate foreign medical graduates in that situation with foreign medical graduates who have not yet done specialty training who would be hoping to enter a US residency after graduation from their medical school.

    I am not sure how the foreign medical graduate population breaks down in that regard - IE, I think about 25% of the US physician population are FMGs, but I don't know how many did the duplicate residency because they did a foreign one that the US system does not recognize. Of all those hoops, doing a second residency is clearly the big deterrent.

    Thanks again for the article and your comments! I really do think we agree on most of your points.
     
  15. Anonymous

    Anonymous Guest

    You make all good points, Dr. Dave. And yes, I think we do agree on most of them. If 25% of physicians practicing medicine in the US are foreign trained it's absurd. It just increases the cost of a medical education here. And it's not fair to the qualified American kids who are rejected by US medical schools due to the insanely rigorous academic requirements. More money should be spent on US residency programs and increasing the number of seats in our medical schools. Besides, many of these foreign trained docs come from India, Pakistan, Iran, etc....where there is a shortage of physicians to treat their own populations. Plus, those foreign doctors are probably trained at 25% of the cost of what it takes to train a student in a US medical school. The kids coming out of US medical schools have likely accrued $350,000 in student debt. That's not easy to pay off, especially for those who practice general medicine. There is incredible mismanagement of the US healthcare system. I have no idea why a bright young kid would choose medicine as a career these days. And I had a completely opposite opinion 20 years ago. Thank you for the insightful discussion.