Why do you want to give Tic Toc credit. Anybody could have written in general terms with out any specifics that GW was doomed and going out of business. What tic toc failed to do is to say what time period or actually he did he said last year and before that he said the year before that. Also, tic toc failed to get into the Why's. The moral of this tic toc story is that anyone can make up anything at anytime and possibly stumble into the right outcome.